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AKAIO Forums • View topic - a long and lean build and could matchup with tigh

a long and lean build and could matchup with tigh

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a long and lean build and could matchup with tigh

Postby elaine95 » Wed Jul 03, 2019 1:46 pm

Bengals vs Dolphins: Odds , expert picks, analysis, predictions for NFL Week 5 September has ended, Red October has begun and the Bengals are sitting atop the AFC North. With momentum on their side, Cincinnati starts a two-game home stretch on Sunday and will host the AFC East-leading Miami Dolphins, who are trying to keep their lead against the Patriots, who just shut them down last Sunday and already won this week on Thursday Night Football.The Bengals’ offense will be without some of its best weapons (Giovani Bernard, John Ross, Tyler Eifert), but at this point most NFL teams are dealing with injuries in major areas. Do the experts and oddsmakers think the Bengals can come out on top in this matchup of current divisional leaders?Odds The Bengals are currently six-point favorites against the Dolphins , according to Bovada. The Bengals opened as 5.5-point favorites so the line hasn’t moved that much. It is hard to pinpoint why the line has expanded in the Bengals’ favor. The major change is that we now know running back Joe Mixon will be available this week. However, Cincinnati will be without John Ross, Giovani Bernard and Billy Price. Of course Vontaze Burfict will be making his return from suspension this week as well, but that was known when the opening line was made.The total is set to 48.5. Last week the Bengals and Falcons surpassed the 50 point line before halftime was over, but the Dolphins don’t have nearly the same fire power as the Falcons, and their defense is far more opportunistic as they lead the NFL in interceptions. All of that said, it still feels safe to bet the over in this one as the Bengals have only scored less than 30 points once this season, which happened in a loss at Carolina.Here are some trends for both teamsCincinnati is 5-1 against the spread in its last six gamesCincinnati is 5-1 straight up in its last six gamesThe total has gone over in five of Cincinnati’s last five gamesCincinnati is 4-1 against the spread in its last five games at homeCincinnati is 5-2 straight up in its last seven games at homeThe total has gone over in four of Cincinnati’s last six games at homeCincinnati is 3-9 against the spread in its last 12 games when playing MiamiCincinnati is 3-11 straight up in its last 14 games when playing MiamiThe total has gone under in five of Cincinnati’s last six games when playing MiamiCincinnati is 1-4 against the spread in its last five games when playing at home against MiamiCincinnati is 2-7 straight up in its last nine games when playing at home against MiamiThe total has gone under in four of Cincinnati’s last five games when playing at home against MiamiMiami is 5-8-2 against the spread in its last 15 gamesThe total has gone over in 10 of Miami’s last 15 gamesThe total has gone under in four of Miami’s last six gamesMiami is 1-6 against the spread in its last seven games on the roadMiami is 1-6 straight up in its last seven games on the roadMiami is 9-3 against the spread in its last 12 games when playing CincinnatiMiami is 11-3 straight up in its last 14 games when playing CincinnatiThe total has gone under in 5 of Miami’s last six games when playing CincinnatiMiami is 4-1 against the spread in its last five games when playing on the road against CincinnatiMiami is 7-2 straight up in its last nine games when playing on the road against CincinnatiThe total has gone under in four of Miami’s last five games when playing on the road against CincinnatiExpert picksFox Sports is predicting a 24.4 to 21.3 victory for the BengalsAll 10 of ESPN’s experts picked the Bengals over the DolphinsAll seven of SB Nation’s experts went with the Bengals as wellCBS Sports only had one expert pick against Cincinnati this weekNFL Pick Watch, which takes all the picks from around the web into consideration, has the Bengals receiving a staggering 97 percent of the picks and all 20 of the top-ranked pickers per the site are going with Cincinnati.Last week the Bengals were fairly big underdogs against the Falcons as far as picks went. The Bengals managing to beat the Falcons in Atlanta seems to have granted them a world’s worth of confidence. It also helps that the Dolphins just got stomped last week , but this is still a kind of matchup that experts would usually be split on more in recent history. It says so much about how the perception of this team is changing that they are being picked this heavily.Trade with Cardinals could provide instant upgrade to Bengals defense So far in the 2018 season, the Bengals are looking like a serious contender. The offense has looked incredible and is one of the top units in the league. On the other hand, the defense has had its struggles, specifically defending the middle of the field.The Arizona Cardinals are having a bad season under first-year head coach Steve Wilks. After starting the season 0-3 with Sam Bradford at the helm, they’ve now turned to to first-round quarterback Josh Rosen to salvage their season. But their struggles transcended more than who was at quarterback. On defense, linebackers Haason Reddick and Deone Bucannon have not found their fit in the team’s new system, and the Cardinals may be looking make a deal.The return of Vontaze Burfict is a major upgrade to the Bengals defense, but the linebacker position is still a concern. Burfict and Preston Brown are both talented players, but the Panthers game proved that the Bengals lack depth at the position and even with the pair back in the line-up the overall speed of the group leaves something to be desired.Reddick is a stud athlete whose size and athleticism elevated him into the first round of the 2017 NFL Draft. Reddick started 3 games as a rookie, but has seen his workload drop off in Year 2. Reddick has a long and lean build and could matchup with tight ends well in the pass game. Bucannon is a converted safety who was a primary starter for the Cardinals since for 3 seasons. His speed would set him apart in the Bengals lineup and make him useful as a nickel linebacker. Both linebackers have struggled in a new defense , so a change of scheme may help them get back on track.The Bengals shouldn’t be the only ones interested in either player, but they are a logical trade partner with the Cardinals. Both players offer the Bengals a needed speed upgrade at the linebacker position. Reddick just turned 24, has a ton of potential, and is still on his cheap rookie deal. Bucannon has experience, but is still only 26. A fresh start for either of them on a team ready to win now could do wonders for them.The Bengals could likely get either in exchange for a mid-to-late round draft pick, and would have to release a backup at the position to make room. This would allow the Bengals to upgrade the linebacker group immediately and hopefully give the defense the boost they need to make a playoff run.
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